How much will the dollar and euro cost after the weekend?
The National Bank continues to lower the euro exchange rate, with the currency increasingly distancing itself from the 51 hryvnia mark. The dollar is also losing ground, but not as decisively.
What will the currency cost on Monday and what will happen to the market in April – read in the material from RBC-Ukraine below.
Read also: Prices may rise faster: the NBU warned about a change in the inflation trajectory
Main points:
- Official exchange rate as of March 30: The National Bank lowered the dollar rate by 4 kopecks (43.84 UAH) and the euro by 13 kopecks (50.48 UAH).
- Reserves and interventions: The NBU has over 50 billion dollars in reserves and plans to spend 3-3.5 billion dollars in April to balance market demand.
- Impact of fuel prices: Due to the war in the Middle East, fuel prices are rising, accelerating inflation (0.8-1.2%) and putting pressure on the currency market.
- April forecast: Expected limits for the dollar exchange rate are 43.75-44.50 UAH, and for the euro – 49.5-52 UAH.
- Fluctuations on the interbank market: On certain days, the difference between the rise and fall of the exchange rate may reach 0.5-0.7 UAH, but the situation will remain under the regulator’s control.
- Global risks: The stability of the hryvnia continues to be influenced by the war factor, shelling, and global turbulence in oil, gas, and gold markets.
NBU Currency Rates
The National Bank updated the currency rates for Monday, March 30. The official dollar rate will decrease by 4 kopecks to 43.84 hryvnias.
The European currency will drop in price by 13 kopecks to 50.48 hryvnias.
Photo: currency rates for March 30 (infographic by RBC-Ukraine)
What will happen to the dollar rate in April
As noted in a comment to RBC-Ukraine by the director of the financial markets and investment activities department at “Globus Bank” Taras Lesovoy, April 2026 could become one of the decisive months that sets the pace for the entire year.
The expert highlights several key factors that will determine the currency’s value in the coming weeks.
The role of the National Bank: The NBU remains the main player. With reserves of over 50 billion dollars, the regulator is ready to spend about 3-3.5 billion dollars on interventions to balance demand and prevent destabilization of the hryvnia.
Inflation and prices: Due to the war in the Middle East, fuel prices are rising. This leads to an increase in the prices of goods and services. Inflation is expected to be 0.8%-1.2% in March, creating additional pressure on the currency market.
War factor: Shelling and economic depletion continue to exert pressure on the exchange rate. The scenario of a ceasefire remains purely hypothetical.
Global turbulence: Conflicts around the world affect the prices of oil, gas, and gold. While some calming is expected in April, overall uncertainty will not disappear.
What will the rate be in April: Lesovoy’s forecast
Significant fluctuations are possible on the interbank market – the difference between rises and falls on certain days may reach 0.5-0.7 UAH. However, the situation is expected to remain under the control of the NBU.
Estimated exchange rate limits:
- Dollar: 43.75 – 44.50 UAH/dollar
- Euro: 49.5 – 52 UAH/euro
Read also: High prices have collapsed fuel demand: what is happening at Ukrainian gas stations now
