{"id":67356,"date":"2026-04-04T05:30:12","date_gmt":"2026-04-04T04:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/versii.net\/%d0%b1%d0%b5%d0%b7-%d0%ba%d0%b0%d1%82%d0%b5%d0%b3%d0%be%d1%80%d0%b8%d0%b8\/2026\/67356\/"},"modified":"2026-04-04T05:30:12","modified_gmt":"2026-04-04T04:30:12","slug":"will-the-dollar-drop-before-easter-what-to-expect-from-the-exchange-rate-next-week-a-bankers-forecast","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/versii.net\/en\/analytics\/2026\/67356\/","title":{"rendered":"Will the dollar drop before Easter? What to expect from the exchange rate next week &#8211; a banker\u2019s forecast"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>What will the dollar and euro exchange rates be before Easter? <\/p>\n<p>The beginning of April on the currency market will be marked by adaptation to new economic realities. Despite price shocks in the fuel market and increased demand for currency, the situation will remain predictable thanks to the actions of the National Bank.<\/p>\n<p>What to expect from currency rates next week, RBC-Ukraine spoke with the director of the financial markets and investment activities department of &#8220;Globus Bank,&#8221; <strong>Taras Lesovoy.<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong>Also read: <\/strong>The bank will block accounts due to these operations: experts provided advice and explained the risks<\/p>\n<p><strong>Main points:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Base rate: <\/strong>The dollar is expected to be around 44 UAH, the euro around 51 UAH.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Cash corridors: <\/strong>The dollar &#8211; 43.5-44.5 UAH, the euro &#8211; 50.5-52 UAH.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Easter factor: <\/strong>A temporary decrease in the dollar purchase rate at exchange offices to 43.5-43.75 UAH may occur due to mass currency sales by the population.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Influencing factors: <\/strong>Consequences of rising fuel prices and increased currency interventions by the NBU.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>What influences the exchange rate<\/p>\n<p>As Lesovoy notes, <strong>the main trigger for the market has been the situation in the Middle East<\/strong>, which has caused a spike in oil prices. In Ukraine, this has resulted in a rapid increase in the price of A-95 gasoline (by 30%) and diesel (by 50%).<\/p>\n<p>This has created additional pressure: energy traders needed more currency for purchases, while businesses and the public began to buy dollars to preserve their savings.<\/p>\n<p>To maintain balance, the National Bank had to significantly increase the volume of interventions &#8211; from the usual 600-800 million dollars to 1-1.3 billion dollars per week. Currently, <strong>the market is gradually adapting<\/strong> to these changes.<\/p>\n<p>Another important factor is the approach of Easter. Traditionally, before the holidays, Ukrainians sell part of their dollar savings to cover expenses. However, the expert notes that this effect will be short-lived.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We can only talk about a partial, several-day market adjustment or even a temporary predominance of supply. Exchange offices will likely take advantage of this and set the purchase rate 0.4-0.5 UAH lower than the interbank rate. As a result, the dollar purchase rate in the cash market may temporarily drop to 43.5-43.75 UAH. <strong>But this should not be seen as a sign of a new trend<\/strong>,&#8221; Lesovoy noted.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" height=\"1350\" src=\"\/static\/ckef2\/img\/kurs-valiut-prohnoz-na-06-04-12-04.jpg\" width=\"1080\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Photo: exchange rate forecast for the week (infographic RBC-Ukraine)<\/p>\n<p>Forecast for the week: April 6-12<\/p>\n<p>Acceptable limits (corridors):<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Interbank: <\/strong>43.7-44.25 UAH\/dollar and 49.5-52 UAH\/euro.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Cash market: <\/strong>43.5-44.5 UAH\/dollar and 50.5-52 UAH\/euro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Difference between buying and selling (spread):<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>In banks: <\/strong>up to 0.5-0.6 UAH per dollar and up to 0.8-1 UAH per euro.<\/li>\n<li><strong>In exchange offices: <\/strong>up to 0.6-1 UAH per dollar and up to 1-1.3 UAH per euro.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><strong>Expected deviations:<\/strong> Average fluctuations for the week will not exceed 1-1.5% from the initial rate.<\/p>\n<\/p>\n<p><strong>Also read: <\/strong>Investing in luxury: how to profit from diamonds, top brands, and art<\/p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What will the dollar and euro exchange rates be before Easter? The beginning of April in the currency market will be marked by adaptation to new economic realities. Despite price shocks in the fuel market and increased demand for currency, the situation is expected to remain predictable due to the actions of the National Bank.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":67103,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"magazine_newspaper_sidebar_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[55],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-67356","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-analytics-en"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Will the dollar fall before Easter? 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